Chorley
National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Chorley
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 4-2 Southport
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Marine AFC has a probability of 32.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Marine AFC win is 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result
ChorleyDrawMarine AFC
41.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)32.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (0.032999999999998 0.03)74.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.99% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)30.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 41.07%
    Marine AFC 32.49%
    Draw 26.43%
ChorleyDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Marine AFC
3-0
Chorley
Lusiama (41', 56'), Sinclair-Smith (62' pen.)
Robinson (23'), Gregson (50'), Butler (79')

Smith (81'), Moore (85')
rhs 2.0


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