Chorley
National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

Chorley
2-1
Marine AFC

Calveley (35'), Ibbitson (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thomas (59')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Chorley vs. Leamington
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: P'boro Sports vs. Marine AFC
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawMarine AFC
41.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)32.49% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (0.032999999999998 0.03)74.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.99% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)30.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)66.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 41.07%
    Marine AFC 32.49%
    Draw 26.43%
ChorleyDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 3pm
gameweek 43
Chorley
0-0
Marine AFC
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 16
Marine AFC
3-0
Chorley
Lusiama (41', 56'), Sinclair-Smith (62' pen.)
Robinson (23'), Gregson (50'), Butler (79')

Smith (81'), Moore (85')