AFC Fylde
National League North
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Chorley

1-0

Ormerod (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Chorley
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Radcliffe vs. Fylde
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Chorley
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Chorley vs. Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawChorley
48.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.97% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61% (-0.012 -0.01)43.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.012 -0.01)65.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88%49.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)28.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)64.61% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 48.21%
    Chorley 27.97%
    Draw 23.82%
FyldeDrawChorley
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.97%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Chorley
0-1
Fylde
Whitmore (90+2')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 25
Fylde
1-2
Chorley
Hall (7'), Ustabasi (84')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Chorley
2-2
Fylde
Ustabasi (59'), Calveley (90+5')
Haughton (3', 16')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 18
Fylde
1-2
Chorley
Tollitt (52')
Leather (20'), Shenton (41')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Fylde
4-0
Chorley
Tollitt (42', 74', 87' pen.), Philliskirk (67')
rhs 2.0


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