AFC Fylde
National League North
Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

Fylde
1-0
Merthyr Town

Ormerod (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Merthyr Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Kidderminster vs. Fylde
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Merthyr Town vs. Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 1-2 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FyldeDrawMerthyr Town
51.68%20.62%27.7%
Both teams to score 69.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.93%28.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.17%48.83%
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.77%36.23%
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97%21.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19%53.81%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 51.68%
    Merthyr Town 27.7%
    Draw 20.62%
FyldeDrawMerthyr Town
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 5.65%
1-0 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.09%
4-1 @ 3.46%
4-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.22%
5-1 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.4%
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 6.87%
3-3 @ 2.58%
0-0 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-1 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.39%
1-4 @ 1.29%
3-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.7%