National League North
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Anjola Popoola 3' goal
  • Mark Ellis 51' goal
  • Max Wilson 60' goal
  • Tom Walker 67' goal
  • goal Andrew Williams 25'
  • goal Andrew Williams 86'

Chorley vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Worksop 1 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 2 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
George Munday

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 46.19% (+0.02)
Draw 26.32% (-0.02)
Hereford United 27.49% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.93% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.79% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 54.2% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.39% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.61% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.02% (-0.03)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 76.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 23.43% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 42.57% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.43% (-0.05)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 65.2% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.79% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.47% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.53% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Chorley 46.18%
Draw 26.31%
Hereford United 27.49%
Chorley
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.31%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 10' goal
  • Lewis Hudson 45' yellowcard
  • Samson Robinson 58' yellowcard
  • Jason Cowley 68' yellowcard
  • Yusifu Ceesay 84' yellowcard
  • Lawson D'Ath 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Warren Clarke 48'
  • yellowcard Jack Rice 85'
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Adam Blakeman 29' goal
  • George Horbury 68' yellowcard
  • Adam Henley 83' yellowcard
  • Adam Henley 84' redcard
  • Adam Blakeman 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 79'
  • yellowcard Samson Robinson 89'
  • yellowcard Montel Gibson 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Jack Hazlehurst 16'
National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 79' goal
  • goal Jack Tolley 55'
  • goal Jack Tolley 56'
  • goal Alex Babos 75'
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jonathan Ustabasi 51' goal
  • Connor Hall 53' goal