National League North

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Chorley
4-2
Hereford Hereford United

Popoola (3'), Ellis (51'), Wilson (60'), Walker (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Williams (25', 86')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 4-2 Hereford
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Next Game: Fylde vs. Chorley
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North

Next Game: Hereford vs. Kidderminster
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
46.19% ( 0.01)	26.32% ( -0.01)	27.49% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

0.06)

54.2% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

0.05)

75.61% (

-0.05)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.03)

23.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

0.04)

57.43% (

-0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

0.03)

34.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

0.03)

71.53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chorley 46.18%

Hereford United 27.49%

Draw 26.31%

Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.49%