National League North | Gameweek 22

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Chorley
vs.
Hereford Hereford United

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Worksop 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 27.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result
Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
46.19% ( 0.01)	26.32% ( -0.01)	27.49% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

0.06)

54.2% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

0.05)

75.61% (

-0.05)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.03)

23.43% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

0.04)

57.43% (

-0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

0.03)

34.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47% (

0.03)

71.53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chorley 46.18%

Hereford United 27.49%

Draw 26.31%

Chorley	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.49%