National League North
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Chris Sze 32' goal
  • Jordan Slew 45'+2' goal
  • Malakai McKenzie 50' goal
  • Chris Sze 54' goal
  • Sonny Hilton 62' yellowcard
  • Djavan Pedro 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan Slew 70' goal
  • Arthur Gnahoua 72' yellowcard
  • Matty Williams 72' yellowcard
  • Paul Murphy-Worrell 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Donawa 58'
  • yellowcard Charlie Pavey 70'
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 81'
  • yellowcard George Munday 85'

Southport vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 4 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jordan Slew

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 3 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lewis Hudson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southport win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 29.18% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Southport 45.57% (-1.28)
Draw 25.25% (+0.47)
Hereford United 29.18% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.03% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 46.97% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 30.13% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 69.87% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Southport 34.61% (-0.40)
Draw 40.29% (+0.43)
Hereford United 25.11% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Southport 52.43% (-1.15)
No Goal 6.52% (+0.12)
Hereford United 41.05% (+1.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.15% (-0.49)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 27.48% (+0.47)
Over 9 49.24% (-0.44)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.06)
Under 9 38.85% (+0.49)
Over 10.5 37.84% (-0.35)
Under 10.5 62.16% (+0.35)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 45.18% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 54.82% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 19.94% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 80.06% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 7.2% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 92.8% (+0.24)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 65.57% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 34.43% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 31.76% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 68.24% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 11.51% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 88.49% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 3.41% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.59% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Southport 45.59%
Draw 25.25%
Hereford United 29.18%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.08% (-0.33)
Total : 45.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.52% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.08)
Total : 25.25%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.20)
0-1 @ 7.25% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.29% (+0.07)
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 74' goal
  • goal Danny Lloyd 70'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 26' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hudson 23'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 72'
  • goal Alex Babos 77'
  • goal Alex Babos 89'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 60' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+2' goal
  • goal Paul Downing 43'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 90'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Markus Carver 57'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • goal Jack Holmes 50'