National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Haig Avenue

Southport vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 4 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 3 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southport win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 29.18% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Southport 45.57% (-1.28)
Draw 25.25% (+0.47)
Hereford United 29.18% (+0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.03% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 46.97% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 30.13% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 69.87% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Southport 34.61% (-0.40)
Draw 40.29% (+0.43)
Hereford United 25.11% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Southport 52.43% (-1.15)
No Goal 6.52% (+0.12)
Hereford United 41.05% (+1.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.15% (-0.49)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 27.48% (+0.47)
Over 9 49.24% (-0.44)
Equal 9 11.91% (-0.06)
Under 9 38.85% (+0.49)
Over 10.5 37.84% (-0.35)
Under 10.5 62.16% (+0.35)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 45.18% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 54.82% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 19.94% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 80.06% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 7.2% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 92.8% (+0.24)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 65.57% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 34.43% (-0.68)
Over 1.5 31.76% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 68.24% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 11.51% (+0.49)
Under 2.5 88.49% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 3.41% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.59% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Southport 45.59%
Draw 25.25%
Hereford United 29.18%
Southport
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.08% (-0.33)
Total : 45.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.52% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.08)
Total : 25.25%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.20)
0-1 @ 7.25% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.4% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.12)
Other @ 3.29% (+0.07)
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Yusifu Ceesay 74' goal
  • goal Danny Lloyd 70'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 26' goal
  • Danny Philliskirk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Hudson 23'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 72'
  • goal Alex Babos 77'
  • goal Alex Babos 89'
  • goal Andrew Williams 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Danny Lloyd 60' redcard
  • Markus Carver 90'+2' goal
  • goal Paul Downing 43'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 90'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Markus Carver 57'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • goal Jack Holmes 50'