National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Spennymoor 0 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Brad Holmes

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Hereford 0 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 47%. A win for Curzon Ashton has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win is 1-0 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).

Result

Curzon Ashton 28.72% (-0.02)
Draw 24.28%
Hereford United 47% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.68%
Under 1.5 23.32%
Over 2.5 55.16%
Under 2.5 44.84%
Over 3.5 32.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.1% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.3% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 80.7% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Curzon Ashton 26.34% (-0.09)
Draw 39.41% (+0.05)
Hereford United 34.25% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Curzon Ashton 43.26% (+0.13)
No Goal 6.72%
Hereford United 50.02% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 58.09% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 30.62% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.58% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 41.91% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.79% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.21% (+0.01)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 1.5 31.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.59% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.08% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.92% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.66% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.34% (+0.04)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 76.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.61% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.14% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Curzon Ashton 28.72%
Draw 24.29%
Hereford United 47%
Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44% (-0.03)
Total : 28.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 24.29%
Hereford United
0-1 @ 9.48%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.87% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.64% (-0.02)
Total : 47%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jaiden White 57' goal
  • Remaye Campbell 67' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 90'+2' goal
  • goal Michael Afuye 82'
  • redcard Craig Mahon 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Isaac Sinclair 6' goal
  • Luke Griffiths 76' yellowcard
  • Devon Matthews 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 31'
  • yellowcard Tate Campbell 34'
  • goal Tate Campbell 43'
  • goal Matt Preston 48'
  • yellowcard Aurio Teixeira 53'
  • yellowcard Yusifu Ceesay 83'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hudson 87'
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Jimmy Spencer 90'+3' goal
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Kyle Howkins 45'+3' goal
  • Alex Babos 65' goal
  • Kyle Howkins 69' redcard
  • Adam Rooney 90'+5' goal
  • goal Isaac Sinclair 20'
  • redcard Cameron Mason 90'
  • redcard Matthews D. 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Hayden Campbell 4'
  • goal Sam Walker 80'