National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Hereford 0 - 0 Macclesfield
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Spennymoor 1 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Rob Ramshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Spennymoor Town has a probability of 32.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win is 0-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.07%).

Result

Hereford United 42.17% (+0.17)
Draw 25.18% (+0.15)
Spennymoor Town 32.64% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.33% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.42% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.58% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.6% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 31.63% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 68.37% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.99% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.01% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 32.11% (-0.24)
Draw 39.31% (+0.04)
Spennymoor Town 28.58% (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 50.06% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.41% (+0.07)
Spennymoor Town 43.53% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 57.58% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.01% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.42% (+0.03)
Over 9 46.38% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 42.42% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.88% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.12% (+0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 42.49% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 57.51% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 18.64% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.76% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.24% (-0.03)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.56% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 32.44% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 34.4% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 65.6% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 13.74% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 86.26% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 4.43% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.57% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hereford United 42.17%
Draw 25.19%
Spennymoor Town 32.64%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 9.16% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.62%
Total : 42.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.03)
Total : 25.19%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.29% (-0.10)
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Olly Dyson 16'
  • goal Glen Taylor 31'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 43' yellowcard
  • Callum Ross 90'+4' yellowcard
National League North Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 55' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+1' goal
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Lebrun Mbeka 27'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Josh Popoola 27' goal
  • Will Harris 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Paul Blackett 90'+2' goal