National League North Gameweek 28
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Freddie Willcox 84' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 2'
  • goal Corey McKeown 35'

Hereford United vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 3 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
George Munday

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Spennymoor 1 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Glen Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 41.58% (-0.15)
Draw 24.92%
Spennymoor Town 33.44% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.34% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.28% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 20.72% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 56.98% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.02% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 33.89% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 66.11% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.65% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 80.35% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 30.52%
Draw 40.22%
Spennymoor Town 29.26%

Team To Score First

Hereford United 50% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.52% (+0.02)
Spennymoor Town 44.48% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.95% (+0.01)
Under 8 26.51%
Over 9 50.95% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.46% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 39.71% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 60.29% (+0.02)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 44.15% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 55.85% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 19.88% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.12% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 7.28% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 92.72% (+0.07)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.59%
Under 0.5 30.41%
Over 1.5 37.59% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.41% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.43% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hereford United 41.58%
Draw 24.92%
Spennymoor Town 33.45%
Hereford United
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.05% (-0.07)
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.92%
Spennymoor Town
1-2 @ 8.04%
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 4.97% (+0.02)
Total : 33.45%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Olly Dyson 16'
  • goal Glen Taylor 31'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 43' yellowcard
  • Callum Ross 90'+4' yellowcard
National League North Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 55' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+1' goal
  • Lassana Nalatche Mendes 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Lebrun Mbeka 27'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Josh Popoola 27' goal
  • Will Harris 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Paul Blackett 90'+2' goal