Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.