Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.72% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.