National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Rob Ramshaw 3' goal

Spennymoor Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Spennymoor 0 - 4 Darlington
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rob Ramshaw

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 2 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Spennymoor Town 32.43% (-0.48)
Draw 26.06% (-0.33)
Chorley 41.51% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.66% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.93% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 26.07% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 49.77% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 50.23% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 28.27% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 71.73% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 15.89% (+0.32)
Under 4.5 84.11% (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Spennymoor Town 27.66% (+0.06)
Draw 40.82% (-1.11)
Chorley 31.52% (+1.06)

Team To Score First

Spennymoor Town 42.89% (-0.46)
No Goal 7.58% (-0.29)
Chorley 49.53% (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 55.05% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.07)
Under 8 33.08% (+0.11)
Over 9 43.21% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.06)
Under 9 44.95% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.38% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 67.62% (+0.25)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 1.5 32.78% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 67.22% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 12.41% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.59% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.74% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.26% (+0.11)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 72.44% (+0.57)
Under 0.5 27.56% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 40.61% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 59.39% (-0.73)
Over 2.5 17.48% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 82.52% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 6.13% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 93.87% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Spennymoor Town 32.43%
Draw 26.06%
Chorley 41.52%
Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.16% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.26% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.68% (-0.12)
Total : 32.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 26.06%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.64% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 7.01% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.04% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.73% (+0.13)
Other @ 6.07% (+0.38)
Total : 41.52%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Kole Hall 32' goal
  • George Horbury 50' goal
  • Kristi Montgomery 88' goal
  • Momodou Touray 89' goal
National League North Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Reece Staunton 15' yellowcard
  • Matt Dolan 61' goal
  • goal Michael Ledger 23' (OG)
  • goal Mike Calveley 85'
  • yellowcard Momodou Touray 90'+1'
FA Cup
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Isaac Fletcher 65' goal
National League North Gameweek 26
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 51' goal
  • Mike Calveley 69' goal
  • goal Mikael Ndjoli 11'
National League North Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • goal Mike Calveley 16'
  • goal Carlton Ubaezuonu 56'