National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Radcliffe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 4 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Radcliffe

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Radcliffe
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Michael Afuye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Radcliffe has a probability of 30.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Radcliffe win is 1-2 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.24%).

Result

Chorley 44.7% (-0.02)
Draw 25.3% (+0.02)
Radcliffe 30.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.56% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.43% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.4% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.6% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.77% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.23% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.45% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.55% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chorley 35.45% (+0.06)
Draw 38.93% (-0.03)
Radcliffe 25.62% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Chorley 52.61% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.04%
Radcliffe 41.35% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.11% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 27.94% (+0.02)
Over 9 49.66% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 38.89% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 38.66% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 61.34% (+0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 46.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.2% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.31% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.84% (-0.01)

Radcliffe Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.65% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.61% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.81% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.19% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.98% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 44.7%
Draw 25.3%
Radcliffe 30.04%
Chorley
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 7.99%
Total : 44.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 6.04%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 25.3%
Radcliffe
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.85% (+0.02)
Total : 30.04%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Tom Carr 25' goal
  • Kole Hall 45'+1' goal
  • Courtney Senior 53' goal
  • Tom Carr 77' goal
  • Mark Ellis 90' goal
National League North Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe, Greater Manchester)
  • Rick Smith 50' goal
  • Jordan Hulme 89' goal