National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 0 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Harry Ibbitson

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw has a probability of 25.29% and a win for Darlington has a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Darlington win it is 1-2 (6.21%).

Result

Chorley 51.47% (-0.04)
Draw 25.29%
Darlington 23.24% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.78% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.11%
Under 2.5 46.89%
Over 3.5 30.93% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.08% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 18.14% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.86% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Chorley 42.6% (+0.11)
Draw 36.76% (-0.07)
Darlington 20.64% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Chorley 58.24% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.62%
Darlington 35.14% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.05% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.05% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.91% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.71% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.34% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.95% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 34.21% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 65.79% (-0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 50.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.95% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.33% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 75.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.7%
Under 3.5 90.3%

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 59.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.91% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.23%
Under 2.5 90.77%
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 51.46%
Draw 25.29%
Darlington 23.24%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.38% (+0.02)
Total : 51.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.32% (-0.02)
Total : 25.29%
Darlington
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.13% (+0.03)
Total : 23.24%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Caden Kelly 13' goal
  • goal Kole Hall 31'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • George Horbury 8' goal
  • Momodou Touray 27' goal
  • Momodou Touray 61' goal
  • Mike Calveley 64' yellowcard
  • Harvey Smith 75' yellowcard
  • Mark Ellis 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kallum Griffiths 26'
  • yellowcard Elliot Forbes 45'
National League North Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Mark Ellis 48'
  • goal Jack Sampson 45'+6'
  • goal Mike Calveley 54'
National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
8
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 4' goal
  • Adam Henley 23' goal
  • Ollie Shenton 27' goal
  • Justin Johnson 53' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 66' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 74' goal
  • David Moyo 83' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 90'+3' goal
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Connor Hall 58'
  • goal Connor Hall 78'
  • goal Jack Sampson 83'