National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester FC vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 0 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Connor Woods

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Leamington
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Harry Ibbitson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw has a probability of 23.57% and a win for Chorley has a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.37%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%) , while for a Chorley win it is 0-1 (6.37%).

Result

Chester FC 55.89% (+0.01)
Draw 23.57%
Chorley 20.54% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.39% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.22% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.11% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.89% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 42.98% (+0.02)
Draw 37.3% (-0.02)
Chorley 19.72% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Chester FC 59.73% (+0.05)
No Goal 6.63%
Chorley 33.64% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 56.68%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 31.73%
Over 9 44.97%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 43.32%
Over 10.5 34.1%
Under 10.5 65.9%

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 51.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.3% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.5%
Under 2.5 74.5%
Over 3.5 10.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.72% (+0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 56.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 43.57% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.42% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.86% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.63% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.37% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chester FC 55.89%
Draw 23.58%
Chorley 20.54%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 10.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 10.26% (-0.01)
Total : 55.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 23.58%
Chorley
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Tom Carr 26' goal
  • George Horbury 34' goal
  • Mark Ellis 81' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 14'
  • goal Tom Peers 21'
National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Tom Peers 22' goal
  • Kevin Roberts 61' yellowcard
  • Harrison Burke 70' goal
  • Will Hugill 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Carr 85'
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Tom Peers 5'
  • goal Tom Peers 38'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium