National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Radcliffe
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
King's Lynn 0 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Bayley McCann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Alfreton Town has a probability of 27.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Darlington 47.38%
Draw 25.18%
Alfreton Town 27.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.05% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.92%
Under 2.5 47.08%
Over 3.5 31.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.95% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.74% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.26% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Darlington 36.33%
Draw 39.47%
Alfreton Town 24.2% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Darlington 56.48%
No Goal 6.96%
Alfreton Town 36.56%

Corners

Over 8 48.94%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 38.94%
Over 9 37.44%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 51.06%
Over 10.5 27.4%
Under 10.5 72.6%

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 46.73% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.27% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.15% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.85% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.63%
Under 3.5 91.37%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.89% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 37.11% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.45% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.18%
Under 3.5 96.82%

Score analysis

Darlington 47.39%
Draw 25.18%
Alfreton Town 27.44%
Darlington
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.41%
Total : 47.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.18%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.44%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Lewis Salmon 29' goal
  • goal Matthew Cornish 87'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • goal Gerry McDonagh 47'
  • redcard George Cantrill 88'
  • goal Jake Day 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jake Day 49' goal
  • Jordan Thewlis 80' goal
  • goal Andrew Nelson 17'
  • goal Finlay Barnes 66'
  • goal Finlay Barnes 72'
National League North Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Matt Rhead 45' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 72' goal
  • goal Jacob Hazel 5'
  • goal Kaine Felix 17'