Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.