National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mark Beck 27' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 71' goal
  • goal Joe Clarke 43'
  • redcard <TBD> 90'+7'
  • redcard Joe Clarke 90'+7'

Alfreton Town vs Leamington FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Worksop 1 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Leamington 2 - 2 Bedford
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Seb Thompson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 46.97%
Draw 28.2% (+0.04)
Leamington FC 24.83% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.83% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.69% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 62.31% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 18.03% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 81.96% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 7.23% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.77% (+0.06)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.32% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 26.68% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.06% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.93% (+0.08)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 0.5 58.41% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 41.59% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.92% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.08% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 46.97%
Draw 28.19%
Leamington FC 24.83%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 14.66% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.68% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 46.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 11.09% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.19%
Leamington FC
0-1 @ 9.74% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.83%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 29
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Waldock 78' goal
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Dan Meredith 25' yellowcard
  • George Ward 59' goal
  • Anthony Lynn 85' goal
  • yellowcard George Cantrill 33'
  • goal David Moyo 50'
  • goal Jed Abbey 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 56' goal
  • Matt Rhead 75' goal
National League North Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Ben Usher-Shipway 13' goal
  • goal Dwayne Riley 51'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 70'
National League North Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dan Turner 75' goal
  • goal Conor Branson 44'
  • goal Jack Lane 64' (OG)
National League North Gameweek 2
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bailey Hobson 73' goal