Alfreton Town
National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

2-1

Beck (27'), Salmon (71' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (43')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Leamington
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Alfreton vs. Hereford
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Leamington
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Next Game: Chorley vs. Leamington
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawLeamington FC
46.97%28.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)24.83% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69% (-0.121 -0.12)62.31% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)81.96% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)26.68% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)61.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)41.59% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)78.08% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 46.97%
    Leamington FC 24.83%
    Draw 28.19%
Alfreton TownDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 14.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 46.97%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.83%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Leamington
2-2
Alfreton
Ward (59'), Lynn (85')
Meredith (25')
Moyo (50'), Abbey (90+5')
Cantrill (33')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
gameweek 41
Alfreton
2-0
Leamington
Hobson (56'), Rhead (75')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Leamington
1-2
Alfreton
Riley (51'), Hobson (70')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 39
Leamington
1-2
Alfreton
Turner (75' pen.)
Branson (44'), Lane (64' og.)