Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.