National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
 

Oxford CityOxford City
vs.
Merthyr Town

Coverage of the National League North clash between Oxford City and Merthyr Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 5-1 Darlington
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Spennymoor vs. Oxford City
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Merthyr Town vs. Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford City win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 28.18% and a draw has a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.25%).

Result
Oxford CityDrawMerthyr Town
50.1%21.72%28.18%
Both teams to score 66.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81%33.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06%54.93%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31%13.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.09%40.91%
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62%57.37%
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 50.1%
    Merthyr Town 28.18%
    Draw 21.72%
Oxford CityDrawMerthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.2%
4-1 @ 3.03%
4-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.21%
4-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.2%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-1 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.18%

rhs 2.0


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