Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.