National League North
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

1-1

Pugh (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campton-Sturridge (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: South Shields vs. Spennymoor
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Oxford City vs. Merthyr Town
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%) , while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawOxford City
62.53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)21.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)16.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)45.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.19% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)14.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)41.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.18% (0.013999999999999 0.01)77.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 62.52%
    Oxford City 16.26%
    Draw 21.2%
Spennymoor TownDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.2%
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.26%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2025 3pm
gameweek 46
Spennymoor
1-0
Oxford City
McKeown (44')
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
gameweek 22
Oxford City
3-0
Spennymoor
Parker (15'), Potter (44'), Fleet (49')

Ross (57')
rhs 2.0


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