National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

Merthyr Town
vs.
Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton

Coverage of the National League North clash between Merthyr Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Curzon Ashton has a probability of 32.66% and a draw has a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win is 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).

Result
Merthyr TownDrawCurzon Ashton
44.78% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)22.56% (0.018999999999998 0.02)32.66% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 65.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)34.78% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)56.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)16.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.45% (-0.107 -0.11)45.55% (0.107 0.11)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (0.020000000000003 0.02)54.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Merthyr Town 44.78%
    Curzon Ashton 32.66%
    Draw 22.56%
Merthyr TownDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 32.66%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2025 3pm
Curzon Ashton
0-3
Merthyr Town
rhs 2.0


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