National League North
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ricardo Rees 45'+2' goal
  • Lee Lucas 80' goal
  • goal Brad Holmes 77'

Merthyr Town vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Fylde 1 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 2 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Tony Weston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Merthyr Town 44.79% (+0.02)
Draw 22.56% (+0.01)
Curzon Ashton 32.64% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.77% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 34.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 43.24% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 56.76% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 24.8% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.2% (+0.02)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 83.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 54.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.55% (+0.01)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 78.41% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.59% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 45.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.68% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 44.79%
Draw 22.56%
Curzon Ashton 32.64%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.56%
Curzon Ashton
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT