Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 25
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Leamington
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw has a probability of 21.42% and a win for Leamington FC has a probability of 15.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Leamington FC win it is 0-1 (5.31%).

Result
ChorleyDrawLeamington FC
63.47% (-1.019 -1.02)21.42% (0.491 0.49)15.11% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 47.19% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-1.014 -1.01)48.88% (1.014 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.927 -0.93)70.97% (0.92399999999999 0.92)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)14.76% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-1.249 -1.25)42.99% (1.249 1.25)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (0.129 0.13)44.64% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35% (0.104 0.1)80.64% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 63.46%
    Leamington FC 15.11%
    Draw 21.41%
ChorleyDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.218 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.236 0.24)
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 15.11%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2025 3pm
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 36
Leamington
3-2
Chorley
Farmer (30'), Berridge (38'), Williams (47')
Hall (43'), Blakeman (53')
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
gameweek 17
Chorley
2-1
Leamington
Ormerod (22', 45+6')
Wilson (60')
Landers (33')
Walker (22'), Edwards (76'), Evans (81')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 44
Leamington
1-2
Chorley
Hulbert (88' pen.)
Sampson (51'), Ustabasi (90+2')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 13
Chorley
1-0
Leamington
Hall (24' pen.)