Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.16% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%) , while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.