Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 25.4% and a draw has a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Chorley win is 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).