National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Worksop 1 - 1 Darlington
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Merthyr Town 1 - 4 Telford
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Ricardo Rees

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 33.91% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.04%) and 3-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Darlington 42.94% (+0.11)
Draw 23.15% (+0.03)
Merthyr Town 33.91% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.1% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 14.9% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 66.09% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 33.91% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 45.37% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 54.63% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 28.95% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 71.05% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Darlington 39.48% (-0.13)
Draw 32.39% (-0.07)
Merthyr Town 28.13% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Darlington 55.34% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.52% (-0.03)
Merthyr Town 41.14% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.48% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.01% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.51% (-0.17)
Over 9 49.03% (+0.17)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.52% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 38.07% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 61.93% (-0.14)

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 50.64% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 49.36% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 26.08% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 73.92% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 11.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.8% (-0.02)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.65% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.49% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.51% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.03% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 79.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.85% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.15% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Darlington 42.94%
Draw 23.15%
Merthyr Town 33.91%
Darlington
2-1 @ 8.38% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.15% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.24%
Other @ 10.77%
Total : 42.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 7.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43% (+0.02)
Total : 23.15%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.42% (+0.04)
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT