Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 2-1 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.