National League North
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 

Merthyr Town
vs.
HerefordHereford United

Coverage of the National League North clash between Merthyr Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 1-3 Merthyr Town
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 26.66% and a draw has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-2 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.69%).

Result
Merthyr TownDrawHereford United
51.34% (1.286 1.29)22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)26.66% (-1.266 -1.27)
Both teams to score 63.69% (-1.062 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.91500000000001 -0.92)35.8% (0.912 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-1.013 -1.01)57.87% (1.012 1.01)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (0.091999999999999 0.09)14.22% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (0.183 0.18)41.96% (-0.187 -0.19)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-1.321 -1.32)25.75% (1.317 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-1.826 -1.83)60.68% (1.823 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Merthyr Town 51.34%
    Hereford United 26.66%
    Draw 22%
Merthyr TownDrawHereford United
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.344 0.34)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.358 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.34%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 26.66%

rhs 2.0


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