National League North
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 

HerefordHereford United
0-1
KidderminsterKidderminster Harriers

FT(HT: 0-1)
Obi (10')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Merthyr Town vs. Hereford
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Kidderminster
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Kidderminster vs. Telford
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawKidderminster Harriers
31.53% (0.115 0.12)25.84% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)42.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (0.112 0.11)50.44% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (0.1 0.1)72.37% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.87% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.16 0.16)65.96% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)57.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 31.53%
    Kidderminster Harriers 42.62%
    Draw 25.84%
Hereford UnitedDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 10.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 42.62%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2025 3pm
gameweek 45
Kidderminster
5-1
Hereford
Worrall (2'), Morgan-Smith (18', 90+8'), Kouhyar (49', 58')
Sterling-James (36')
Dec 26, 2024 1pm
gameweek 23
Hereford
0-3
Kidderminster

D'Ath (69'), Preston (89')
Brown (9'), Obadeyi (50'), Morgan-Smith (87')
Foulkes (15')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
gameweek 26
Kidderminster
1-1
Hereford
Morgan-Smith (23')
Andoh (60')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 25
Hereford
0-1
Kidderminster
Bearne (24')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Kidderminster
3-0
Hereford
Austin (28'), Morgan-Smith (32', 36')

Pearce (24')
rhs 2.0


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