National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Tate Hugh Xavier-Jones 64' yellowcard
  • Lee Lucas 64' yellowcard
  • Lewys Twamley 70' goal
  • Lewys Twamley 82' goal
  • Jayden Bourne 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaine Felix 63'
  • yellowcard Charlie Hickingbottom 75'
  • yellowcard Max Booth 75'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 82'
  • yellowcard Sam McLintock 82'

Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 0 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Luca Miller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw has a probability of 17.97% and a win for Peterborough Sports has a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.75%) , while for a Peterborough Sports win it is 1-2 (4.42%).

Result

Merthyr Town 66.88%
Draw 17.97% (-0.02)
Peterborough Sports 15.15% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 13.3% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 68.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 46.38% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 53.62% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 32.54% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 67.46% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 50.6%
Draw 30.56%
Peterborough Sports 18.84%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 68.82% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.42%
Peterborough Sports 27.76% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.59% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 19.45% (-0.02)
Over 9 59.26% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 29.41% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 47.54% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 52.46% (-0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 68.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.48%
Under 2.5 56.52%
Over 3.5 23.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.13% (+0.01)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5 50.6%
Under 0.5 49.4%
Over 1.5 22.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.21% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.33% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 66.87%
Draw 17.98%
Peterborough Sports 15.14%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06%
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 23.72% (-0.02)
Total : 66.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.42%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.98%
Peterborough Sports
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-1 @ 3.1%
0-2 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Total : 15.14%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT