National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ricardo Rees

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 0 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luca Miller

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw has a probability of 17.97% and a win for Peterborough Sports has a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.75%) , while for a Peterborough Sports win it is 1-2 (4.42%).

Result

Merthyr Town 66.88%
Draw 17.97% (-0.02)
Peterborough Sports 15.15% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.91%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 13.3% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 68.99% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31.01% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 46.38% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 53.62% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 32.54% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 67.46% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 50.6%
Draw 30.56%
Peterborough Sports 18.84%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 68.82% (-0.02)
No Goal 3.42%
Peterborough Sports 27.76% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 70.59% (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.95% (-0.02)
Under 8 19.45% (-0.02)
Over 9 59.26% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 29.41% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 47.54% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 52.46% (-0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 68.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.48%
Under 2.5 56.52%
Over 3.5 23.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.13% (+0.01)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5 50.6%
Under 0.5 49.4%
Over 1.5 22.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.21% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.33% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 66.87%
Draw 17.98%
Peterborough Sports 15.14%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.06%
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 23.72% (-0.02)
Total : 66.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.42%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.98%
Peterborough Sports
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-1 @ 3.1%
0-2 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.81% (-0.02)
Total : 15.14%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT