National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Tom Carr 17' goal
  • Anjola Popoola 35' goal
  • Adam Blakeman 63' goal
  • Mark Ellis 67' goal
  • goal Ted Lavelle 2'
  • goal Djavan Pedro 36'

Chorley vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 0 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 0 Darlington
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.05% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.06%).

Result

Chorley 54.19% (-0.56)
Draw 24.05% (+0.20)
Southport 21.71% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%
Over 3.5 27.13%
Under 3.5 72.87%
Over 4.5 15.56% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.44% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Chorley 42.45% (-0.35)
Draw 39.08% (-0.10)
Southport 18.48% (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Chorley 59.85% (-0.12)
No Goal 7.73% (+0.04)
Southport 32.42% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 52.86% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.77% (-0.08)
Under 8 34.37% (+0.06)
Over 9 40.31% (+0.09)
Equal 9 12.55% (-0.09)
Under 9 47.14% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 29.11% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 70.9% (-0.15)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 48.93% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 51.07% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 22.81% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 77.19% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 8.94% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 91.06% (+0.21)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 55.68% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 44.32% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 22.5% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 77.5% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 6.81% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 93.19% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 1.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.43% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chorley 54.18%
Draw 24.06%
Southport 21.72%
Chorley
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.93% (-0.21)
Total : 54.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.73% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.06%
Southport
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.88% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.56% (+0.04)
Total : 21.72%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • 21' goal
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 21' goal
  • Mike Calveley 38' goal
  • Mark Ellis 51' goal
  • Kole Hall 81' yellowcard
  • Scott Wilson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Keenan Quansah 18'
  • goal Jamie Proctor 41'
  • yellowcard Jamie Proctor 70'
National League North Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Justin Johnson 54' goal
  • Jack Sampson 77' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 84' goal
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Josh Hmami 53' redcard
  • goal Jack Sampson 41'
  • goal Jack Hazlehurst 52'
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Scott Wilson 37' goal
  • goal Chris Doyle 47'
  • goal Connor Woods 52'