Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.05% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.06%).