National League North
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The New Eyrie
  • Josh Castiglione 29' goal
  • Carl Mensah 70' goal

Bedford vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 7 - 1 Bedford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Telford 2 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Bedford had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Bedford win was 2-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Bedford 35.37%
Draw 25.35%
Chorley 39.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 80% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 20% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.02%
Under 2.5 41.98%
Over 3.5 36.17%
Under 3.5 63.83%
Over 4.5 21.37%
Under 4.5 78.63%

First Half Winner

Bedford 28.77%
Draw 38.87%
Chorley 32.36%

Team To Score First

Bedford 47.16%
No Goal 5.42%
Chorley 47.42%

Corners

Over 8 61.96%
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 27.1%
Over 9 50.45%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 38.04%
Over 10.5 39.33%
Under 10.5 60.67%

Bedford Goals

Over 1.5 39.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.4%
Under 2.5 82.6%
Over 3.5 6.2%
Under 3.5 93.8%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 74.11% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.89% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.93%
Under 1.5 56.07%
Over 2.5 19.38%
Under 2.5 80.62%
Over 3.5 7.19%
Under 3.5 92.81%

Score analysis

Bedford 35.36%
Draw 25.35%
Chorley 39.29%
Bedford
2-1 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.95%
Total : 35.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.35%
Chorley
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.87%
Other @ 6.94%
Total : 39.29%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT