National League North
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
7
1
HT : 2 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • 22' goal
  • Jordon Garrick 24' goal
  • Lewys Twamley 54' goal
  • Tom Handley 54' yellowcard
  • Matthew Harris 61' yellowcard
  • Jordon Garrick 64' goal
  • Tate Hugh Xavier-Jones 69' yellowcard
  • Kiban Rai 69' yellowcard
  • Alex John 76' yellowcard
  • Kiban Rai 79' goal
  • Lewys Twamley 80' goal
  • Tate Hugh Xavier-Jones 90' goal
  • Tate Hugh Xavier-Jones 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jevani Brown 40'
  • yellowcard Carl Mensah 40'
  • yellowcard Josh Dawodu 58'
  • yellowcard Ellis Brown 69'
  • yellowcard Joshua Phillips 73'

Merthyr Town vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Kidderminster 0 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 1 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Bedford has a probability of 22.82% and a draw has a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Bedford win is 1-2 (6.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.37%).

Result

Merthyr Town 55.71%
Draw 21.47%
Bedford 22.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 15.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 63.97%
Under 2.5 36.03%
Over 3.5 41.48%
Under 3.5 58.52%
Over 4.5 26.63%
Under 4.5 73.37%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 42.96%
Draw 34.92%
Bedford 22.11%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 60.14%
No Goal 3.99%
Bedford 35.87%

Corners

Over 8 74.32%
Equal 8 8.6%
Under 8 17.08%
Over 9 64.3%
Equal 9 10.02%
Under 9 25.68%
Over 10.5 53.56%
Under 10.5 46.44%

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 59.14% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.86% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 32.8% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 67.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 15.18%
Under 3.5 84.82%

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 59.98%
Under 0.5 40.02%
Over 1.5 30.67%
Under 1.5 69.33%
Over 2.5 11.62%
Under 2.5 88.38%
Over 3.5 3.31%
Under 3.5 96.69%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 55.72%
Draw 21.47%
Bedford 22.82%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.34%
3-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 14.94%
Total : 55.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.47%
Bedford
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-1 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 22.82%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT