Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.32% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.