National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Impact Arena

Alfreton Town vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Bayley McCann

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 0 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A draw has a probability of 29.52% and a win for Bedford has a probability of 28.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.49%) , while for a Bedford win it is 0-1 (9.68%).

Result

Alfreton Town 41.85% (+0.15)
Draw 29.52% (+0.10)
Bedford 28.63% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.54% (+1.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.75% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 31.25% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 42.6% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 57.4% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 22.57% (+0.86)
Under 3.5 77.43% (-0.85)
Over 4.5 11.47% (+0.56)
Under 4.5 88.53% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 30.8% (-0.67)
Draw 44.85% (+1.03)
Bedford 24.36% (-0.36)

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 47.53% (+0.79)
No Goal 9.52% (-1.04)
Bedford 42.95% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 62.01% (+1.30)
Equal 8 11.22% (-0.14)
Under 8 26.77% (-1.16)
Over 9 50.18% (+1.33)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.99% (-1.30)
Over 10.5 38.77% (+1.23)
Under 10.5 61.23% (-1.23)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 37.82% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 62.18% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 14.92% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 85.08% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 4.68% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.32% (-0.10)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 62.8% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 37.2% (-0.72)
Over 1.5 27.54% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 72.46% (-0.77)
Over 2.5 8.8% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 91.2% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.37% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.63% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 41.85%
Draw 29.51%
Bedford 28.62%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.03% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 7.81% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.15)
Other @ 4.42% (+0.05)
Total : 41.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (+0.63)
0-0 @ 9.52% (-1.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.26% (+0.06)
Total : 29.51%
Bedford
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.42)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.11% (+0.11)
Total : 28.62%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT