Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.