Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.