National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 3 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Justin Donawa 16' goal
  • Cormac Daly 31' goal
  • Keziah Martin 39' goal
  • Cormac Daly 77' goal
  • George Munday 80' goal
  • goal Finley Shrimpton 5'
  • yellowcard 36'
  • yellowcard Connor Woods 36'

Hereford United vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 2 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Lewis Hudson

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Leamington 0 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Connor Woods

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Hereford United 26.83% (+0.38)
Draw 25.74% (+0.37)
Chester FC 47.43% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.24% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.55% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 26.45% (+0.79)
Over 2.5 49.24% (-0.94)
Under 2.5 50.76% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 27.33% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 72.67% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 15.11% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 84.89% (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 23.79% (-0.11)
Draw 43.29% (+0.08)
Chester FC 32.92% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 37.34% (+0.59)
No Goal 7.84% (+0.36)
Chester FC 54.82% (-0.94)

Corners

Over 8 57.86% (-0.36)
Equal 8 11.44% (+0.09)
Under 8 30.7% (+0.27)
Over 9 46.2% (-0.41)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.08)
Under 9 42.14% (+0.36)
Over 10.5 35.28% (-0.44)
Under 10.5 64.72% (+0.44)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 28.06% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.94% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.7% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 90.3% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.58% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.42% (-0.04)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 76.15% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 23.85% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 44.97% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 55.03% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 20.34% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 79.66% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 7.21% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 92.79% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Hereford United 26.83%
Draw 25.74%
Chester FC 47.43%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 7.89% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.23% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.21% (+0.11)
Total : 26.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.84% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.37% (-0.08)
Total : 25.74%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 10.72% (+0.26)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 8.64% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.08)
Other @ 6.84% (-0.36)
Total : 47.43%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Woods 90'+7' goal
  • goal Aaron Skinner 59'
National League North Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jaiden White 49' goal
  • Jason Cowley 90'+3' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 44'
  • goal Ben Woods 53'
National League North Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 1' goal
  • Tom Peers 29' yellowcard
  • Connell Rawlinson 51' yellowcard
  • Reece Daly 55' yellowcard
  • Tom Peers 62' goal
  • Charlie Caton 74' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Cowley 71'
  • yellowcard Tate Campbell 85'
  • yellowcard Ty Deacon 88'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Andrew Williams 75' goal
  • goal Elliott Whitehouse 14'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Declan Weeks 35' goal
  • goal Lassana Nalatche Mendes 84'
  • goal Aurio Teixeira 88'
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Thierry Latty-Fairweather 75' goal
  • goal Charlie Caton 59'
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 79'