Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%).