Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.