National League North Gameweek 26
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 0 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Kidderminster
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Hereford United has a probability of 36.14% and a draw has a probability of 26.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Hereford United win is 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Hereford United 36.14% (+0.11)
Draw 26.62% (-0.22)
Darlington 37.19% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.5% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 24.6% (-0.70)
Over 2.5 53.55% (+1.28)
Under 2.5 46.45% (-1.28)
Over 3.5 30.19% (+1.12)
Under 3.5 69.81% (-1.11)
Over 4.5 17.35% (+0.84)
Under 4.5 82.65% (-0.83)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 26.86% (+0.10)
Draw 42.02% (-0.04)
Darlington 31.12% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 46.43% (+0.16)
No Goal 6.97% (-0.20)
Darlington 46.6% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.59% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.16% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.25% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.77% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.04)
Under 9 37.41% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 39.31% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 60.69% (-0.08)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 38.01% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 61.99% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 15.95% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 84.05% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 5.36% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 94.64% (-0.30)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 28.8% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 38.71% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 17.04% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 82.96% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 5.55% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 94.45% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Hereford United 36.13%
Draw 26.62%
Darlington 37.19%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.61% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.96% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.9% (+0.23)
Total : 36.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.46% (+0.09)
Total : 26.62%
Darlington
0-1 @ 8.69% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.5% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.42% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.13)
Other @ 5.09% (+0.25)
Total : 37.19%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Matthew Cornish 50'
  • goal Matthew Cornish 72'
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Kallum Griffiths 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jack Lambert 56' goal
  • Will Hatfield 81' goal
  • goal Arafat Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim 60'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 80'
National League North Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Ben Liddle 25' goal
  • Matthew Cornish 90' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Connor Stanley 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jarrett Rivers 38' goal
  • Andrew Nelson 64' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 88' goal