National League North
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Harley Hamilton 67' yellowcard
  • Keziah Martin 79' yellowcard
  • Justin Donawa 83' yellowcard
  • Adam Rooney 83' yellowcard
  • Aaron Skinner 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Howells 66'
  • yellowcard Matty Cornish 74'
  • yellowcard Aidan Rutledge 75'

Hereford United vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 5 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Harrison Sohna

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Southport 2 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 35.96% (-0.18)
Draw 27.13% (+0.51)
Darlington 36.91% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.23% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.05% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 24.95% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 53.59% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.41% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.06% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 68.94% (-0.88)
Over 4.5 18.01% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 81.99% (-0.67)

First Half Winner

Hereford United 27.16% (+0.31)
Draw 43.35% (+1.33)
Darlington 29.49% (-1.64)

Team To Score First

Hereford United 43.7% (-2.73)
No Goal 8.42% (+1.46)
Darlington 47.88% (+1.29)

Corners

Over 8 61.42% (-1.18)
Equal 8 10.95% (-0.22)
Under 8 27.63% (+1.38)
Over 9 49.94% (-0.84)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.35)
Under 9 38.58% (+1.18)
Over 10.5 38.9% (-0.42)
Under 10.5 61.1% (+0.42)

Hereford United Goals

Over 1.5 38% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.29% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 83.71% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.93% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 95.07% (+0.43)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 70.48% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 29.52% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 38.82% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.18% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 17.06% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.4% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Hereford United 35.95%
Draw 27.13%
Darlington 36.91%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.64)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 5.14% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.87% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.47)
Other @ 4.85% (-0.06)
Total : 35.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.44)
0-0 @ 8.42% (+1.46)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.84% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.38)
Total : 27.13%
Darlington
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.44)
2-3 @ 2.92% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.52% (+0.43)
Total : 36.91%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • goal Matthew Cornish 50'
  • goal Matthew Cornish 72'
National League North Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Kallum Griffiths 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jack Lambert 56' goal
  • Will Hatfield 81' goal
  • goal Arafat Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim 60'
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 80'
National League North Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Ben Liddle 25' goal
  • Matthew Cornish 90' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Connor Stanley 88' goal
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jarrett Rivers 38' goal
  • Andrew Nelson 64' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 88' goal