Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.