National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Matt Stenson 35' yellowcard
  • Matt Stenson 76' goal
  • James Armson 90'+4' goal

AFC Telford United vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 0 - 0 Telford
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Matt Stenson

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Andrew Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

AFC Telford United 44.76% (+0.41)
Draw 23.52% (-0.34)
Hereford United 31.67% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.64% (+1.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.27% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 19.73% (-0.70)
Over 2.5 58.65% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 41.35% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 36.72% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 63.28% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 21.76% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 78.24% (-0.72)

First Half Winner

AFC Telford United 35.84% (-0.24)
Draw 38.12% (-0.04)
Hereford United 26.04% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

AFC Telford United 53.75% (-0.32)
No Goal 5.11% (-0.13)
Hereford United 41.14% (+0.44)

Corners

Over 8 59.79% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.42% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.78% (-0.01)
Over 9 47.96% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 9 40.21% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 36.73% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 63.27% (+0.06)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 1.5 47.57% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 52.43% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 22.7% (+0.53)
Under 2.5 77.3% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 9.16% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 90.84% (-0.35)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 67.92% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 32.08% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 36.26% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 63.74% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 14.73% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.27% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.9% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 95.1% (-0.19)

Score analysis

AFC Telford United 44.77%
Draw 23.52%
Hereford United 31.67%
AFC Telford United
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.25)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.41% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.08)
Other @ 9.05% (+0.36)
Total : 44.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 23.52%
Hereford United
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.37)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.84% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.79% (+0.20)
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • goal Ryan McLean 16'
National League North Gameweek 37
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Owen-Evans 44' goal
  • redcard Harry Flowers 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm