National League North
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • James Potter 57' yellowcard
  • James Potter 60' goal
  • Lewis Bell 81' yellowcard
  • Lewis Bell 88' goal
  • Lewis Bell 89' goal
  • George Newell 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Woods 61'
  • yellowcard Connor Woods 63'
  • goal Connor Woods 64'
  • yellowcard Dylan Mottley-Henry 67'
  • yellowcard Dion Kelly-Evans 73'

Marine AFC vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 2 South Shields
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 3 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Finley Shrimpton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Marine AFC 34.08% (-1.27)
Draw 26.99% (+0.32)
Chester FC 38.88% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.85% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.79% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 27.21% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 47.3% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 52.7% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 25.79% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 74.21% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 13.4% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 86.6% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 26.43% (-0.25)
Draw 41.37% (+0.62)
Chester FC 32.2% (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 43.98% (-0.61)
No Goal 7.81% (+0.26)
Chester FC 48.21% (+0.35)

Corners

Over 8 57.63% (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.18)
Under 8 30.66% (+0.34)
Over 9 45.7% (-0.65)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.15)
Under 9 42.37% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 34.58% (-0.72)
Under 10.5 65.42% (+0.72)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 33.17% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+1.55)
Over 2.5 12.13% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 87.87% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 3.58% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 96.42% (+0.36)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 28.89% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 37.03% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 62.97% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 14.61% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 85.39% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.53% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.47% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 34.08%
Draw 27.01%
Chester FC 38.88%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.57% (-0.37)
Total : 34.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.01%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.52% (+0.01)
Total : 38.88%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 10' goal
  • Iwan Murray 69' goal
  • goal Finlay Sinclair-Smith 80'
National League North Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Tom Atcheson 25' yellowcard
  • Kallan Murphy 33' yellowcard
  • James Brown 52' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 70' goal
  • Leigh Whelan 71' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 88' goal
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 11'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 23'
  • goal Iwan Murray 30'
  • goal Harrison Burke 58'
  • yellowcard Noah Wadsworth 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Bainbridge 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 83'