National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 0 - 0 South Shields
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Charlie Jolley

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 0 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Connor Woods

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Marine AFC has a probability of 34.08% and a draw has a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Marine AFC win is 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.12%).

Result

Marine AFC 34.08% (-1.27)
Draw 26.99% (+0.32)
Chester FC 38.88% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.85% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.79% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 27.21% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 47.3% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 52.7% (+0.95)
Over 3.5 25.79% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 74.21% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 13.4% (-0.60)
Under 4.5 86.6% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 26.43% (-0.25)
Draw 41.37% (+0.62)
Chester FC 32.2% (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 43.98% (-0.61)
No Goal 7.81% (+0.26)
Chester FC 48.21% (+0.35)

Corners

Over 8 57.63% (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.18)
Under 8 30.66% (+0.34)
Over 9 45.7% (-0.65)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.15)
Under 9 42.37% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 34.58% (-0.72)
Under 10.5 65.42% (+0.72)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 33.17% (-1.55)
Under 1.5 66.83% (+1.55)
Over 2.5 12.13% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 87.87% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 3.58% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 96.42% (+0.36)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 28.89% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 37.03% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 62.97% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 14.61% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 85.39% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.53% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.47% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 34.08%
Draw 27.01%
Chester FC 38.88%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.57% (-0.37)
Total : 34.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.01%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 8.54% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.56% (+0.28)
1-3 @ 3.93% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.95% (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.52% (+0.01)
Total : 38.88%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 10' goal
  • Iwan Murray 69' goal
  • goal Finlay Sinclair-Smith 80'
National League North Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Tom Atcheson 25' yellowcard
  • Kallan Murphy 33' yellowcard
  • James Brown 52' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 70' goal
  • Leigh Whelan 71' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 88' goal
  • goal Dylan Mottley-Henry 11'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 23'
  • goal Iwan Murray 30'
  • goal Harrison Burke 58'
  • yellowcard Noah Wadsworth 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Bainbridge 74'
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 83'