National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Finley Shrimpton 37' goal
  • Connor Woods 42' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Ayres 28'
  • goal Jo Cummings 47'

Chester FC vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Bedford 0 - 0 Chester
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Connor Woods

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 0 - 0 Buxton
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Bayley McCann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.37% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Chester FC 57.97% (-0.96)
Draw 23.37% (+0.47)
Alfreton Town 18.66% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.73% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.87% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 23.13% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 53.38% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.62% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 32.16% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 67.84% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 19.37% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 42.94% (+0.38)
Draw 40.79% (-0.68)
Alfreton Town 16.27% (+0.28)

Team To Score First

Chester FC 63.54% (-0.22)
No Goal 6.58% (-0.08)
Alfreton Town 29.88% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 56.12% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.22% (+0.02)
Over 9 44.4% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.88% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 33.57% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 66.43% (+0.04)

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 54.64% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 45.36% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 28.28% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 71.72% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 12.1% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 87.9% (+0.27)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.07% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 45.93% (-0.75)
Over 1.5 22.63% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 77.37% (-0.69)
Over 2.5 7.03% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 92.97% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 1.74% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.26% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Chester FC 57.97%
Draw 23.37%
Alfreton Town 18.67%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 9.91% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.09)
Other @ 11.87% (-0.36)
Total : 57.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.23% (+0.09)
Total : 23.37%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 5.17% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 4.72% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.51% (-0.06)
Total : 18.67%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 70' goal
  • Tom Peers 81' goal
National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jed Abbey 43' goal
  • David Moyo 55' goal
  • Liam Waldock 57' yellowcard
  • Max Hunt 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 25'
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 36'
  • goal Charlie Caton 72'
  • yellowcard Declan Weeks 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Kennedy Digie 36'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 66'
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Edwards 23' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 12'
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Anthony Dudley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dayle Southwell 39'