National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester FC vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Chester 2 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Connor Woods

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Buxton 0 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
George Ward

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Buxton has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Buxton win is 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.88%).

Result

Chester FC 44.61% (+1.69)
Draw 24.79% (-0.73)
Buxton 30.6% (-1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.96% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.48% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 20.52% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 57.51% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 42.49% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 35.02% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 64.98% (-0.43)
Over 4.5 19.81% (+0.53)
Under 4.5 80.19% (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Chester FC 37.02% (+0.57)
Draw 37.88% (-0.11)
Buxton 25.1% (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Chester FC 52.35% (+0.97)
No Goal 5.48% (-0.25)
Buxton 42.17% (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 63.98% (+0.30)
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 25.24% (-0.30)
Over 9 52.44% (+0.29)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.02% (-0.30)
Over 10.5 41.12% (+0.23)
Under 10.5 58.88% (-0.23)

Chester FC Goals

Over 1.5 47.58% (+1.23)
Under 1.5 52.42% (-1.23)
Over 2.5 21.67% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 78.33% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 8.39% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 91.61% (-0.58)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 67.58% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 32.42% (+0.91)
Over 1.5 35.36% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 64.64% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 13.8% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 86.2% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 4.3% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.7% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Chester FC 44.61%
Draw 24.78%
Buxton 30.61%
Chester FC
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 8.3% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.74% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.75% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.18)
Other @ 8.15% (+0.67)
Total : 44.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.24% (-0.10)
Total : 24.78%
Buxton
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.18)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.16)
Other @ 4.06% (-0.17)
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North
Apr 30, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Iwan Murray 2' goal
  • Harrison Burke 108' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 19'
National League North Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 3
FT The Silverlands
  • Ethan Fitzhugh 18' goal
  • Luke Brennan 28' goal
  • Liam Ravenhill 37' yellowcard
  • Tom Elliott 60' yellowcard
  • Kieran Burton 83' yellowcard
  • Connor Kirby 85' yellowcard
  • goal Charlie Caton 20'
  • yellowcard James Storer 26'
  • goal Charlie Caton 39'
  • goal Harrison Burke 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 44'
  • goal Jack Bainbridge 58'
  • yellowcard Harrison Burke 63'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Charlie Caton 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Fitzhugh 14'
  • yellowcard True Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Kieran Burton 76'
  • yellowcard Jack Stobbs 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Sault 78'
National League North Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Ben Andreucci 2' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 5'
  • goal Harrison Burke 60'
  • goal Adam Thomas 64'
  • goal Tom Peers 71'
National League North Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Samuel Osborne 2'