Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.36%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.