National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Kian Foreman 87' goal
  • goal Kieron Freeman 19'

Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
Spennymoor 4 - 1 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Glen Taylor

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 19, 2026 7.45pm
Alfreton 2 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.23% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.36%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Spennymoor Town 59.38% (+0.50)
Draw 22.23% (-0.22)
Alfreton Town 18.34% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.92% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 22.08% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 54.86% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 45.14% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 32.34% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 67.66% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 19.98% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 80.02% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Spennymoor Town 39.7% (+0.05)
Draw 39.55% (-0.03)
Alfreton Town 20.75% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Spennymoor Town 60.22% (+0.23)
No Goal 5.87% (-0.13)
Alfreton Town 33.91% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 63.21% (+2.29)
Equal 8 10.99% (-0.28)
Under 8 25.8% (-2.00)
Over 9 51.5% (+2.36)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.07)
Under 9 36.79% (-2.29)
Over 10.5 40.1% (+2.24)
Under 10.5 59.9% (-2.24)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 1.5 55.64% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 44.36% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 29.24% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 70.76% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 12.69% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 87.31% (-0.43)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.5% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 45.5% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 22.21% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 77.79% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 6.21% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.79% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.68% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.32% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Spennymoor Town 59.37%
Draw 22.25%
Alfreton Town 18.34%
Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 10.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.81% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.22% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.68% (+0.42)
Total : 59.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.25%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67% (-0.06)
Total : 18.34%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Corey McKeown 25' goal
  • Callum Ross 30' goal
  • Glen Taylor 61' goal
  • goal Lewis Salmon 66'
National League North Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Adam Lund 67' yellowcard
  • goal Dwayne Riley 65' (OG)
  • yellowcard Isaac Fletcher 74'
  • yellowcard Reece Staunton 90'+2'
FA Cup
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Waldock 74' goal
  • goal 16'
National League North Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • James Oliver 12' goal
  • Jake Day 38' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 76'
National League North Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Will Harris 42' goal
  • Danny Greenfield 60' goal
  • goal Dwayne Riley 8'