Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.