National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Joe Cummings 23' goal
  • J. Ayres 51' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Colville 90'+2'

Alfreton Town vs Scarborough Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 3 - 2 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
J. Ayres

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 2 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Stephen Walker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 37.44% (-0.65)
Draw 27.35% (+0.17)
Scarborough Athletic 35.21% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.09% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 28.91% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 46.33% (-0.89)
Under 2.5 53.67% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 24.4% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 75.6% (+0.92)
Over 4.5 12.78% (-0.61)
Under 4.5 87.22% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 26.98% (-0.10)
Draw 44.21% (+0.01)
Scarborough Athletic 28.8% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 46% (-0.15)
No Goal 8.46% (+0.29)
Scarborough Athletic 45.54% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 58.6% (-0.40)
Equal 8 11.45% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.94% (+0.39)
Over 9 46.85% (-0.38)
Equal 9 11.75% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.4% (+0.40)
Over 10.5 35.8% (-0.34)
Under 10.5 64.2% (+0.34)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.39% (-1.15)
Under 1.5 64.61% (+1.15)
Over 2.5 13.43% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 86.57% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 4% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 96% (+0.27)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 68.17% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 31.83% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 33.39% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.61% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.28% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 87.72% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 3.57% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 96.43% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 37.43%
Draw 27.35%
Scarborough Athletic 35.22%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.38% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.86% (-0.27)
Total : 37.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.46% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.35%
Scarborough Athletic
0-1 @ 10.07% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.27% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 5.73% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.43% (-0.10)
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • goal Lewis Salmon 2'
  • goal Adam Anson 62'
National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Billy Fewster 45' goal
  • Liam Waldock 51' yellowcard
  • George Cantrill 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Newall 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richie Bennett 19'
  • yellowcard Alex Brown 45'
  • yellowcard Dom Tear 58'
  • goal Mackenzie Maltby 79'
National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • goal <TBD> 19'
  • goal Shaun Brisley 23'
National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jake Day 41' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 36'
  • goal Harry Green 39'
  • goal Luca Colville 66'
National League North Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Michael Coulson 79' goal
  • Luca Colville 85' goal