Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.44% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%) , while for a Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.