Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 49.91%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.