National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Radcliffe 1 - 3 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00pm
Spennymoor 0 - 0 Bedford
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Rob Ramshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for Spennymoor Town has a probability of 23.19% and a draw has a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.03%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.85%).

Result

Merthyr Town 55.98%
Draw 20.83%
Spennymoor Town 23.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.53%
Under 1.5 14.47%
Over 2.5 67.02%
Under 2.5 32.98%
Over 3.5 44.99%
Under 3.5 55.01%
Over 4.5 29.28%
Under 4.5 70.72%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 40.85%
Draw 36.29%
Spennymoor Town 22.86%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 62.02%
No Goal 3.41%
Spennymoor Town 34.57%

Corners

Over 8 64.43%
Equal 8 10.1%
Under 8 25.48%
Over 9 53.6%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 35.57%
Over 10.5 42.9%
Under 10.5 57.1%

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 60.33%
Under 1.5 39.67%
Over 2.5 34.57%
Under 2.5 65.43%
Over 3.5 16.38%
Under 3.5 83.62%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.51%
Under 0.5 38.49%
Over 1.5 31.98%
Under 1.5 68.02%
Over 2.5 12.85%
Under 2.5 87.15%
Over 3.5 4.26%
Under 3.5 95.74%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 55.98%
Draw 20.82%
Spennymoor Town 23.19%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 7.03%
1-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 16.01%
Total : 55.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 3.41%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.82%
Spennymoor Town
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-1 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 23.19%

Head to Head

National League North
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
6
4
HT : 0 0
FT