Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Chester FC has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Chester FC win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.56%).