National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
  • Will Glennon 74' goal
  • yellowcard 17'
  • yellowcard Lewys Twamley 17'
  • goal Callum Ryan-Phillips 19'

Leamington FC vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Leamington 0 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Seb Thompson

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Alfreton 3 - 2 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Leamington FC 31.3% (-0.29)
Draw 24.52% (-0.11)
Merthyr Town 44.18% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.78% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 21.22% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 57.05% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 42.95% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 34.8% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 65.2% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 20.61% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.39% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Leamington FC 22.02% (-0.38)
Draw 37.97% (-0.14)
Merthyr Town 40.02% (+0.54)

Team To Score First

Leamington FC 35.98% (-0.63)
No Goal 5.95% (-0.04)
Merthyr Town 58.07% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 61.7% (+0.61)
Equal 8 10.76% (+0.10)
Under 8 27.54% (-0.72)
Over 9 50.41% (+0.46)
Equal 9 11.3% (+0.17)
Under 9 38.3% (-0.61)
Over 10.5 39.49% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 60.51% (-0.27)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 1.5 35.36% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 64.64% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 14.17% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 85.83% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.83% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.17% (+0.10)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.7% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 24.3% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 46.11% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 53.89% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 22.57% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 77.43% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 8.46% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 91.54% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Leamington FC 31.3%
Draw 24.52%
Merthyr Town 44.18%
Leamington FC
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.53% (-0.05)
Total : 31.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.05)
Total : 24.52%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 9.22% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 6.12% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 3.9% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.16% (-0.04)
Total : 44.18%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Noah Smerdon 20' goal
  • Noah Smerdon 55' goal
  • Ricardo Rees 72' goal
  • Ricardo Rees 76' goal
  • goal Seb Thompson 90'+1'