Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.