Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.