Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.