National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton 1 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Bedford 4 - 1 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Darlington win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bedford has a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Bedford win it is 1-2 (6.12%).

Result

Darlington 57.53% (+1.69)
Draw 21.3% (-0.54)
Bedford 21.17% (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

61% (+1.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 16.66% (-1.36)
Over 2.5 63.61% (+2.54)
Under 2.5 36.39% (-2.54)
Over 3.5 40.32% (+2.28)
Under 3.5 59.68% (-2.28)
Over 4.5 25.81% (+1.97)
Under 4.5 74.19% (-1.97)

First Half Winner

Darlington 45.16% (+1.04)
Draw 35.5% (-0.75)
Bedford 19.34% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Darlington 63.84% (+1.57)
No Goal 4.16% (-0.42)
Bedford 32% (-1.15)

Corners

Over 8 64.79% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.49% (-0.08)
Under 8 24.73% (+0.09)
Over 9 53.49% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.09)
Under 9 35.21% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 42.33% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 57.67% (-0.15)

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 59.43% (+2.66)
Under 1.5 40.57% (-2.66)
Over 2.5 33.32% (+2.45)
Under 2.5 66.68% (-2.45)
Over 3.5 15.33% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 84.67% (-1.60)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 59.31% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 40.69% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 27.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.93% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Darlington 57.53%
Draw 21.3%
Bedford 21.17%
Darlington
2-1 @ 10.32% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 6.83% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.19)
Other @ 15.15% (+1.49)
Total : 57.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.11)
Total : 21.3%
Bedford
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.49)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.37)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.72% (-0.04)
Total : 21.17%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Tye Barton 6' goal
  • Matt Godden 68' goal
  • Ellis Brown 84' goal
  • goal Will McGowan 13'
  • goal Max Howells 15'
  • yellowcard Toby Lees 67'
  • goal Cedric Main 90'
  • goal Thomas Allan 90'+5'