National League North Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Cedric Main 13' goal
  • Jack Maskell 48' goal

Darlington vs Bedford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton 1 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Cedric Main

Bedford

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Bedford 4 - 1 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tyrone Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bedford had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%) , while for a Bedford win it was 1-2 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Darlington 57.53% (+1.69)
Draw 21.3% (-0.54)
Bedford 21.17% (-1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

61% (+1.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 16.66% (-1.36)
Over 2.5 63.61% (+2.54)
Under 2.5 36.39% (-2.54)
Over 3.5 40.32% (+2.28)
Under 3.5 59.68% (-2.28)
Over 4.5 25.81% (+1.97)
Under 4.5 74.19% (-1.97)

First Half Winner

Darlington 45.16% (+1.04)
Draw 35.5% (-0.75)
Bedford 19.34% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Darlington 63.84% (+1.57)
No Goal 4.16% (-0.42)
Bedford 32% (-1.15)

Corners

Over 8 64.79% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.49% (-0.08)
Under 8 24.73% (+0.09)
Over 9 53.49% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.09)
Under 9 35.21% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 42.33% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 57.67% (-0.15)

Darlington Goals

Over 1.5 59.43% (+2.66)
Under 1.5 40.57% (-2.66)
Over 2.5 33.32% (+2.45)
Under 2.5 66.68% (-2.45)
Over 3.5 15.33% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 84.67% (-1.60)

Bedford Goals

Over 0.5 59.31% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 40.69% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 27.93% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.07% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.93% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Darlington 57.53%
Draw 21.3%
Bedford 21.17%
Darlington
2-1 @ 10.32% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 6.83% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.19)
Other @ 15.15% (+1.49)
Total : 57.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.42)
3-3 @ 1.62% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.11)
Total : 21.3%
Bedford
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.49)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.37)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.72% (-0.04)
Total : 21.17%

Head to Head

National League North
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Tye Barton 6' goal
  • Matt Godden 68' goal
  • Ellis Brown 84' goal
  • goal Will McGowan 13'
  • goal Max Howells 15'
  • yellowcard Toby Lees 67'
  • goal Cedric Main 90'
  • goal Thomas Allan 90'+5'